According to the Federal Highway Administration, there are
well over 2 million licensed drivers in the United States over 85 years of age,
and with the impending “silver tsunami”, that number is expected to grow
significantly over the next several years. Seniors are living longer and
are more active than ever before. This is the first generation in which
almost everybody earned a driver’s license during adolescence and has been
driving ever since.
Today’s 85 year old driver probably began driving at around
the age of 15 or 16, which dates the start of one’s driving career back to
1943-44, at the height of WWII. In 1943, the Pentagon was completed and
became the largest office building in the world, Franklin D. Roosevelt was
president and there were only 48 states in the Union. Gasoline prices
rose to 18 cents a gallon, and construction on the country’s first interstate
highway would not begin for another 13 years. It would be another 26
years before seatbelts would start appearing in cars.
In January, 2013, FoxNews reported on Edythe Kirchmaier, a
great-grandmother from California, in an article titled “105-year-old
California woman relieved to pass driver’s test with flying colors”. Mrs.
Kirchmaier took her driver’s test the day after she turned 105, making her
driver’s license valid until 2017.
Just last month, New Zealand’s Bob Edwards turned 105 years
old, and is considered to be that country’s oldest driver. Mr. Edwards
says he has been driving for 88 years and has “no plans to get out from behind
the wheel”.
In the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration
(NHTSA)’s Older Driver Five Year Strategic Plan (2012-1017), they estimate that
by 2020, there will be more than 40 million licensed drivers 65 and older.
An Evolution of Vehicle Safety Enhancements
Almost like aviation safety, vehicle safety advancements
have made almost unbelievable progress over the past half-century. Many
of us remember when cars were not yet equipped with padded dashboards,
lapbelts, rounded door handles, hydraulic brakes, automatic transmissions, or
emergency brakes.
Most of us remember the addition of new safety features like
back-up lamps, hazard flashers, 3-point safety belts, laminated windshields,
airbags, smoother dashboards with recessed controls, bumper shocks, disc
brakes, a driver’s side airbag, antilock brakes, GPS, collapsible steering
columns and heads-up (HUD) displays.
Many of today’s vehicles are adorned with such advancements
as adaptive headlamps, back-up sensors and cameras, adaptive cruise control, a
third brake light, traction control systems, electronic stability control,
electronic brakeforce distribution, cornering brake control, electronic tire
pressure monitoring, advanced navigation systems, hydrophobic windows, crumple
zones and safety cells, black box recorders, and smart supplemental
restraint systems.
Emerging Vehicle Safety Technologies
And now we are entering what I like to call the Paleo-Jetson
era. Purchase a new vehicle today and you may be equipped with such
advances as intelligent brake lights (brake lights that communicate with other
vehicles), smart windshields (augmented reality), night vision enhancement,
automated parking systems, lane departure warning systems, crash notification
and avoidance technologies, electronic blind-spot detection, back-over
prevention systems, fatigue warning systems, forward collision warning with
auto brake, and now…the advent of self-driving cars.
This is All Good, Right?
There is much debate amongst automobile design engineers,
psychologists, industry safety researchers, geriatricians and neurologists, et
cetera, on how well the processing abilities of older drivers is going to be
able to keep up with the cognitive workload being required by these new
technologies.
For example, most crash avoidance technologies rely on
drivers to take immediate action. The effectiveness of these systems
depends on whether drivers accept the technologies, understand
the information from the reporting systems, and respond
appropriately. Often times, in order to be effective and safe, the
processing of these new sensory inputs will need to occur in well under a
slit-second of time, and that’s quick.
Fighter Pilot Information Overload
For decades, the military has been conducting research on
the experience known as ‘fighter pilot information overload’. This
phenomenon occurs when the pilot becomes so inundated with information produced
by intelligence gathering technologies within the cockpit that his or her mind
loses its ability to properly analyze the incoming data. Worse still,
sometimes that overload of information can become so intense and overwhelming,
and in such a short period of time, that the results can almost immediately
turn disastrous.
As drivers, are we going to find themselves overwhelmed by
the bombardment of new technology commands such as audio warnings, alerts,
tones, and visual cues, et cetera? Are we entering into an era of ‘older
driver’ information overload?
Who Buys These Technologically Advanced Vehicles?
In a 2013 study by the University of Michigan’s Traffic
Research Institute (UMTRI), researchers concluded that “Adults under 50 have
long been the ideal target group for automobile advertisers, but when it comes
to buying new vehicles, older consumers may be a marketer’s best bet. The
emphasis on this relatively older age group is further supported by the
expected continuation of the greying of the population and the consequent
continuation of the increase in the number of older licensed drivers.”
The automobile industry and the engineers and developers
behind these new technologies quickly remind us that these new developments are
designed to make vehicular travel safer than it has ever been before, particularly
for our growing population of older drivers (aka new car customers).
The Real World
As the developer of the “self-assessment program” for older
drivers, I have worked with older drivers that will undoubtedly adapt to these
new technologies with ease. They possess the cognitive abilities to
handle these emerging technologies without ever missing a beat. I know of
older drivers that will bask in this new era and would even serve the rest of
us very well as instructors for this new gadgetry.
I have, however, worked with just as many older drivers that
shouldn’t so much as have the AM radio turned on while driving.
I have ridden shotgun with older drivers that did not
realize their outside mirrors were adjustable, or that they could unlock their
vehicle by simply pushing on one of the key’s little black buttons.
“Amazing!” one older driver told me after I should him how to unlock the car
remotely. There are drivers who do not know how to activate their
four-way flashers in case of an emergency, and have always wondered “what that
red triangle button was for”.
I once enjoyed the good fortune of riding with an older
driver that asked me “what is that funny clicking sound…is that your phone
making that noise?”
“No ma’am” I replied, “that’s your left turn signal…it’s
been on now for several miles.” Acknowledging the error, she promptly
turned the left turn signal off and was immediately pleased with herself.
Now we were driving down the road with our right turn signal on, and she
seemed to no longer notice that “funny clicking sound”.
I have spent time with more than one older driver that has
become lost while driving blocks from their home of 50 years. When that
happens, older drivers seemingly fall apart cognitively. On more
than one occasion I have been with a lost, older driver who has found himself
as the lead vehicle stopped at a red traffic signal. In the mounting
confusion, they have sat through the entire green cycle because they were so
distracted and confused that they could not process that the signal changed
from red to green (this despite the sounding horns from the cars driving around
us).
Many older drivers purchase vehicles equipped with in-dash
navigation systems to help keep them from getting lost, but have no idea how to
so much as turn it on. “They showed me once, but I forget”. One
elderly gentleman explained that he gets lost often, so his adult children
purchased a GPS unit for his dashboard. He then explained “I don’t use it
though; it’s too distracting.”
One has to wonder how this same driver would respond to an
emergency audio alert being chirped or chimed from the vehicle’s lane departure
warning system.
To say the least, interpreting warnings from multiple
systems may be confusing or even completely distracting or overwhelming for
some older drivers. For some older drivers, their insurance agent might
be well served to actually raise their client’s premiums (just joking)
if their new vehicle is equipped with these fancy, electronic safety
“distractions”.
A False Sense of Security?
When these hi-tech vehicles are purchased by an older (or
younger!) adult, what training will that person receive in the use of these
modern-day advancements? Will the training be unique to the individual’s
cognitive and sensory abilities? To their vision and hearing? To
their flexibility and reaction-times?
Will the new car owner be required to train for x-amount of
hours in a simulator? Will they receive an on-road demonstration by the
salesperson? Or will the new owner simply be told “Be sure to download
the video on how to use your car’s new forward collision warning system…with
auto brake!”
Are these new technologies going to cause drivers to rely on
emerging safety systems so much that they will feel freer to look away from the
road, lessening their defensive driving skills? Will they give an older
driver (and their adult children?) a false sense of security that will
encourage driving during weather or traffic conditions that they would not
normally subject themselves to?
Successful Morphing of Older Drivers and New Vehicle
Technologies
In defense of older drivers, earlier this month the Missouri
State University released a study titled “Study shows seniors navigate
assistive technology with ease”. Although the study did not specifically
refer to driving, the researchers concluded “Those aged 65 and older are
accessing and effectively utilizing technology on a daily basis”. That’s
certainly a good start. It is also gratifying to know that engineers from
our most respected and trusted automobile manufacturers are very well aware of
this interfacing concern and are working diligently to improve our likelihood
of success in the world of new automobile technologies.
In a 2009 report by the National Academy of Engineering,
researchers explain “New in-vehicle systems create particular challenges for
older drivers. Paradoxically, even though older drivers may find it more
difficult to use these devices, they are likely to be the first to encounter
them, because innovations are often initially introduced into high-end cars,
which are usually bought by more affluent (and usually older) costumers. Thus
the more mature driver population is often the first to encounter still
immature systems.”
It is important to remember, too, that the American
Automobile Association (AAA) has informed us that seniors are outliving their
ability to drive safely by an average of 7-10 years, that’s with or without intelligent
brake lights.
Managing the Situation
On January 15, 2009, US Airways pilot Chesley Sullenberger
successfully landed Flight 1549 in the frigid, wintery waters of the Hudson
River, effectively saving the lives of all 155 passengers and crew members
onboard. Since the “Miracle on the Hudson”, Captain Sullenberger wrote
the New York Times best-seller Highest Duty, which is a memoir of his
life and of the events surrounding Flight 1549.
In the book’s chapter titled Managing the Situation,
Captain Sullenberger writes about the application of emerging technologies in
the cockpit. Sullenberger recounts a conversation he once had with Earl
Wiener, Ph.D., a former Air Force pilot turned renowned aviation safety
expert. Dr. Wiener explained that he was once asked to speak at a
conference on “the role of the pilot in the automated cockpit”, and offered the
following:
“Whether you’re flying by hand or using technology to
help, you’re ultimately flying the airplane with your mind. The question
is: How many different levels of technology do you want to place between
your brain and the actual control surfaces?”
There appears to be a strong correlation between Dr.
Wiener’s assessment of cockpit technology and the recent advances in emerging
automobile technologies, and if nothing else, his comments are certainly cause
for further consideration.
Proceeding With Caution
Tom Brokaw referred to older American’s as “Our Greatest
Generation”, and he was exactly right. Conceptually, the older drivers
this article refers to includes individuals that fought in for us in world
wars, they ended racial segregation, strategically maneuvered our country
through the Cold War, put American’s on the moon, built the steel industry, and
brought us the Golden Age of Television.
Members of the Greatest Generation includes such
icons as Mickey Rooney, Bob Hope, Dr. Martin Luther King, Jr., Ross Perot, Jim
Nabors, Barbara Walters and Neil Armstrong, and just as importantly…many of our
parents or grandparents. We owe a duty to our older drivers not to leave
them behind in the wake of new and advancing technologies. The adaptation
of these new advancements need to involve our older drivers from the very early
stages of initial concept, to product development, and lastly to successful
training, acceptance, implementation and proper interfacing.
These are very exciting times for new vehicle safety
technologies. The landscape of in-vehicle technologies is changing daily
as new components continue to be introduced. These advances, combined with
roadway design improvements, the development of advanced traffic management systems,
raised awareness and education, and a better understanding of driver factors
will all work together to make our highways and communities safer places to
live, work and recreate for the next generation.
The meshing of new technologies with current driver skills
and abilities must be handled with care for both reasons of safety, and for
reasons of taking care of those that have spent their lives laying the ground
work so that we could enjoy the development of these new safety technologies in
the first place. We wouldn’t be where we are today without the miraculous
achievements of “Our Greatest Generation”.
Article Credit: http://www.legalexaminer.com
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